Table 5

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of prognostic predictors (baseline and change) for improvement at 10th visit (persistent pain patients only)

Persistent N = 185

Univariate

Multivariate

Predictor variable:

Unadjusted OR (95% CI)

p-value

Adjusted OR (95% CI)

p-value

Model


Baseline:

Gender (male)

1.17 (0.65 to 2.10)

0.602

*Age (higher)

1.00 (0.98 to 1.01)

0.615

*Posterior area body pain (higher)

0.98 (0.94 to 1.02)

0.320

*Anterior area body pain (higher)

0.99 (0.93 to 1.05)

0.732

Marked area of posterior body pain (high)

1.22 (0.68 to 2.19)

0.510

Inappropriate markings

0.59 (0.29 to 1.23)

0.158

Back pain

0.94 (0.49 to 1.78)

0.846

Leg pain

1.14 (0.57 to 2.29)

0.706

Neck pain

0.74 (0.41 to 1.34)

0.319

Headache

0.97 (0.41 to 2.32)

0.950

Shoulder and/or arm pain

1.28 (0.67 to 2.40)

0.435

Widespread pain

0.77 (0.27 to 2.22)

0.628

Trauma

1.44 (0.69 to 2.96)

0.330

Similar complaint in past

0.56 (0.28 to 1.09)

0.085

Taking medication

0.59 (0.31 to 1.13)

0.113

Expect to recover

1.59 (0.87 to 2.88)

0.130

Paid employment

2.06 (1.07 to 3.98)

0.031

2.26 (1.03 to 4.99)

0.043

Satisfied with work status

0.80 (0.33 to 1.92)

0.613

Smoke

1.85 (1.01 to 3.36)

0.045

Alcohol

0.67 (0.37 to 1.24)

0.207

Physically active

1.32 (0.66 to 2.63)

0.429

In good health

1.77 (0.86 to 3.63)

0.121

*BQ Pain

1.07 (0.93 to 1.24)

0.338

*BQ Disability

1.19 (1.05 to 1.34)

0.006

*BQ Social disability

1.10 (0.99 to 1.22)

0.086

*BQ Anxiety

1.02 (0.93 to 1.13)

0.668

*BQ Depression

0.99 (0.89 to 1.09)

0.784

*BQ WFAB

1.14 (1.02 to 1.27)

0.017

*BQ LOC

1.00 (0.89 to 1.12)

0.973

*BQ Total

1.02 (0.99 to 1.04)

0.156

At 4/5th visit:

*Change BQ Pain

1.33 (1.13 to 1.56)

0.001

*Change BQ Disability

1.37 (1.19 to 1.58)

0.001

*Change BQ Social disability

1.19 (1.05 to 1.35)

0.005

*Change BQ Anxiety

1.16 (1.05 to 1.29)

0.004

*Change BQ Depression

1.16 (1.04 to 1.29)

0.008

*Change BQ WFAB

1.30 (1.16 to 1.47)

0.001

1.26 (1.11 to 1.44)

0.001

*Change BQ LOC

1.27 (1.11 to 1.44)

0.001

*Change BQ Total

1.07 (1.04 to 1.10)

0.001

Improved 4/5th visit

6.24 (3.15 to 12.36)

0.001

5.42 (2.59 to 11.35)

0.001

Sensitivity; Specificity; Percentage correctly predicted; Area under ROC (95% CI); Adjusted R2

79.0%; 68.0%; 74.4%; 0.80 (0.73 to 0.86); 34.3%


*Continuous variables

Bolton and Hurst Chiropractic & Manual Therapies 2011 19:27   doi:10.1186/2045-709X-19-27

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